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Are We Seeing a Revival in U.S. Deals?

Are We Seeing a Revival in U.S. Deals?
These Are the 3 Signals You Can’t Afford to Miss!

This week, markets held their breath as the conflict between Iran and Israel escalated. Oil prices jumped 3.6%, reaching $78 per barrel, mainly due to concerns about further escalation in the Middle East and uncertainty around oil supply.

Despite these tensions, there still seems to be room for further increases before it really impacts the U.S. economy. The Fed’s June meeting also brought few surprises: interest rates remain unchanged. With ongoing trade tariffs and inflation risks, loosening monetary policy is tricky, but expectations are for rates to drop by 50 basis points this year. U.S. government bonds stayed stable and stocks closed slightly higher (NASDAQ 100 and Solactive 2000 both +0.4%).

Yet, while most eyes are on geopolitical developments, I actually see positive signals for dealmaking and capital market activity. The revival appears to be accelerating! 💡

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. Data as of June 15, 2025.
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. Data as of June 15, 2025.

AI-Driven Acceleration in Deal Activity in 2025

Three Drivers for a Recovery in Deal Activity:
  1. Artificial Intelligence:
    AI is changing the game for M&A and IPOs, creating new opportunities and giving early adopters a real edge.
  2. Deregulation in the Financial Sector:
    Lighter regulations give banks more freedom for acquisitions and lending, which boosts deal activity and shareholder returns.
  3. Private Equity Exits:
    With traditional exits becoming more challenging, secondary transactions are an attractive alternative for liquidity and value creation.
Earlier this year, we already saw a significant revival in the U.S., partly thanks to the pro-business policies of the Trump administration. In Q1, global M&A activity even grew by +17% year-on-year. And with these three trends leading the way, I expect the recovery to continue gaining momentum.

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The Van Holland Group team assists entrepreneurs who aim to start or expand their business in the United States. With our offices located in Baarn, the Netherlands, Miami Florida and Houston Texas in the USA, along with a hub network in all 50 states, we are the top USA Specialists with over 25 years of experience. We provide a variety of services including research, business consultancy, incorporation registration, and guidance. Our team of 25 specialist is here to help you from A to Z - from your initial market exploration and partner search to the creation of your company, and even all the way to establishing a complete sales and marketing organization.

https://www.vanhollandgroup.com
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